Incidence of COVID-19 in Paraíba and sociodemographic factors: an ecological and spatial study
Vigil Sanit Debate, Rio de Janeiro, 2023, v.11: e02040 | Published on: 22/03/2023
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.22239/2317-269x.02040Keywords:
SARS-CoV-2, Information Storage and Retrieval, EpidemiologyAbstract
Introduction: COVID-19 notification has been growing continuously in Brazil and the study of all related aspects is necessary. Objective: To determine the incidence rate of coronavirus, analyze the spatial autocorrelation of reported cases and determine the correlation between the incidence of the disease and sociodemographic variables in the state of Paraíba, in 2020. Method: An observational, ecological research was carried out and data were obtained from notifications from cities in Paraíba to the Coronavirus Panel. The outcome variable was the disease incidence rate, and the explanatory variables referred to sociodemographic data, testing the hypotheses using Spearman’s correlation. Spatial autocorrelation was verified using Moran’s I and Geary’s C statistic, using choropleth maps, by means of the R software, at a significance level of 5%. Results: Increasing values of incidence rates were observed as the months progressed. There was a statistical correlation for population density, income, and Municipal Human Development Index in most months. In addition, the Alto-Alto pattern was observed in the state capital at the beginning of the pandemic and, soon after, a migration of this spatial pattern to the interior cities. Conclusions: It was observed, therefore, that the high incidence rates and its spatial behavior negatively impact people’s lives and signal the need for a more intense intervention of governmental policies.
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Author Biographies
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Gustavo Correia Basto da Silva, Universidade Estadual da Paraíba (UEPB), Campina Grande, PB, Brasil
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Gilmar Barbosa da Silva, Universidade Estadual da Paraíba (UEPB), Campina Grande, PB, Brasil
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Anna Stella Cysneiros Pachá, Universidade Federal da Paraíba (UFPB), João Pessoa, PB, Brasil
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Ysabely de Aguiar Pontes Pamplona , Programa de Pós-Graduação strictu senso em Saúde Coletiva, Universidade Católica de Santos, Santos, SP, Brasil
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Lourdes Conceição Martins , Universidade Católica de Santos
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Álvaro Augusto do Nascimento, Universidade Estadual da Paraíba (UEPB), Campina Grande, PB, Brasil
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Ricardo Alves de Olinda, Universidade Federal da Paraíba (UFPB), João Pessoa, PB, Brasil
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Copyright (c) 2023 Gustavo Correia, Gilmar Barbosa da Silva, Anna Stella Cysneiros Pachá, Ysabely de Aguiar Pontes Pamplona , Lourdes Conceição Martins , Álvaro Augusto do Nascimento, Ricardo Alves de Olinda (Autor)
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